Extreme events in natural or man-made complex systems are rare, but they are often associated with great damage or other impact. Changes in human society such as changes in land use, in population size, in value of property, create the tendency that the number of humans exposed seems to grow and therefore the impacts of extremes seem to become ever more dramatic. Despite many endeavors, extreme events will neither be fully preventable nor reliably predictable. However, a better understanding of extreme events can facilitate better preparedness and diminish loss of lives and damage to health, ecosystems, infrastructure, and property. To this end computer simulations of extremes have gained considerable interest. But it still remains a scientific challenge to identify possible precursors for early warnings, to take appropriate precautions, and to mitigate effects.
The symposium is meant to provide a platform for scientific exchange on extreme events and neighboring fields. The current state-of-the-art, open questions and future directions will be discussed. Participation is open to scientists working on extreme events and respective civil protection issues. The following keynote speakers have been invited to share their results and perspectives:
- Freddy Bouchet, ENS Lyon
- Eberhard Faust, Munich Re
- Michael Ghil, Ecole Normale Supérieure Paris & University of California Los Angeles
- Håvard Hegre, University Uppsla & Peace Research Institute Oslo
- Norbert Hoffmann, Technical University Hamburg-Harburg
- Anke Jentsch, University of Bayreuth
- Christian Kühn, TU München
- Cristina Masoller, Universitat Polytecnica de Catalunya
- Alexander Pisarchik, Universidad Polytecnica de Madrid
- Michael Schreckenberg, University of Duisburg-Essen
- Dirk Witthaut, University of Cologne and Forschungszentrum Jülich
- Thordis Thorarinsdottir; Norwegian Computing Center Oslo
- Kevin Trenberth, National Center for Athmospheric Research, Boulder/Colorado
- Nicholle Koko Warner, UNFCCC, Bonn
- Thomas Wernberg, University of Western Australia, Crawley (Perth)
- Andreas Zick, University of Bielefeld
Participants are invited to submit contributions for talks or posters. The organizers will try to follow the indicated preferences, but like to ask in advance for your understanding that the number of contributed talks will be limited. The poster session will provide ample opportunity to present and discuss research results.
A one-day tutorial for junior researchers and newcomers to the field takes place on March 5, 2018, preceding the symposium. During the tutorial introductions and overviews will be held on extreme value statistics, stochastic modeling, and theoretical foundations as well as on the phenomenology of extreme events in various fields such as climate, environment, and society. The symposium proper starts on March 6, 2018 around 10:30 a.m. and ends on March 9, 2018 at noon.
Tutorial & Final Symposium "Extremes 2018"
March 5-9, 2018
Herrenhausen Palace, Hanover, Germany
A detailed preliminary program will be ready for download in the right column shortly after the registration deadline.
Prof. Dr. Ulrike Feudel, Institute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment, University of Oldenburg
Prof. Dr. Holger Kantz, Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden
Prof. Dr. Klaus Lehnertz, Department of Epileptology, University Hospital of Bonn
The conference language is English.
There are no fees for attendance but registration is essential. If you would like to attend the symposium, please register by clicking on the registration link in the column on the right. The deadline for registration has been extended to January 22, 2018.
Venue and Public Transport
The conference is held at Herrenhausen Palace, a modern conference center in Hanover, Germany. You can reach the venue by subway: Take line 4 or 5 (direction Garbsen or Stöcken) and get off at "Herrenhäuser Gärten".
Accommodation for Participants
Please note that you are responsible for booking your accommodation. As Hannover is a city that hosts many fairs, we recommend booking a hotel as soon as you register. See also "Accommodation for Participants" in the right column for hotel recommendations.
The meeting will be held in the framework of the former funding initiative "New Conceptual Approaches to Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems". The respective call on "Extreme Events: Modeling, Analysis, and Prediction" aimed at advancing computer simulations, thus contributing to the understanding of the emergence and to the risk assessment of extreme events. This final conference coincides with the termination of the last project renewals which have been awarded in 2014.